Probabilidade | Exercicios Resolvidos

After removing 1 red, left: 3 red + 6 blue = 9 marbles. [ P(B_2 | R_1) = \frac69 = \frac23 ]

( \frac91216 ). Summary of Key Formulas Used | Concept | Formula | |---------|---------| | Classical probability | ( P(A) = \fracA ) | | Conditional probability | ( P(A|B) = \fracP(A \cap B)P(B) ) | | Multiplication rule | ( P(A \cap B) = P(A)P(B|A) ) | | Bayes' theorem | ( P(A|B) = \fracP(BP(B) ) | | Binomial probability | ( P(X=k) = \binomnk p^k (1-p)^n-k ) | | Complement rule | ( P(A) = 1 - P(\neg A) ) | These exercises illustrate the most common reasoning patterns in introductory probability. Practice with variations (more dice, different decks, multiple events) to build intuition. probabilidade exercicios resolvidos

About 9.02%. Despite high accuracy, low prevalence means most positives are false positives. Exercise 5: Binomial Probability Problem: A fair coin is tossed 5 times. What is the probability of getting exactly 3 heads? Solution: Binomial with ( n=5, k=3, p=0.5 ): [ P(X=3) = \binom53 (0.5)^3 (0.5)^2 = 10 \times (0.5)^5 ] [ = 10 \times \frac132 = \frac1032 = \frac516 = 0.3125 ] After removing 1 red, left: 3 red + 6 blue = 9 marbles

Given: [ P(D) = 0.001,\quad P(T^+|D) = 0.99,\quad P(T^+|\neg D) = 0.01 ] By Bayes' theorem: [ P(D|T^+) = \fracD)P(D)\neg D)P(\neg D) ] [ = \frac0.99 \times 0.0010.99 \times 0.001 + 0.01 \times 0.999 ] [ = \frac0.000990.00099 + 0.00999 = \frac0.000990.01098 \approx 0.09016 ] Exercise 5: Binomial Probability Problem: A fair coin